Wayne Ayers Quotes

Found 44 quotes by Wayne Ayers .
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"He's instantly recognizable in financial circles and has international stature." Wayne Ayers
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"I suspect they will not have a neutral bias; they will indicate risks are on the downside. I think we will, on the production side, see better numbers in the second half of this year, but I don't expect any convincing improvement in the labor market before early next year." Wayne Ayers
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"I think you would be hard-pressed to find an economist, aside from the supply-siders, who would argue against the idea that deficits matter." Wayne Ayers
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"From the Fed's point of view we've had head-fakes before -- I think they want to see a more stable environment for financial markets before they call it a day. I don't expect that's going to happen overnight. We will see a sustainable slowdown, but it may not happen right away." Wayne Ayers
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"I find it strange that we had one of the biggest declines in employment in almost two years and no one noticed, and I'm sure they're thinking the same way over there at the Fed." Wayne Ayers
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"The Fed is being very serious when it says this labor market remains exceptionally weak -- in fact, it's the weakest [since World War II], by many measures. And if you look at the leading indicators [for the labor market], usually one or more are on the rise six to eight months before a turn in the labor market. Right now, none are on the rise." Wayne Ayers
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"The anecdotal evidence of the beige book seems to confirm what all these economic reports have been saying." Wayne Ayers
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"To me, the business cycle is working as it always does, absent an external shock. Inventory liquidation means firms have to increase production, and they're already doing that. They're also increasing the length of the work week and hiring temporary workers. All these things support income and spending." Wayne Ayers
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"If you look at the last jobless recovery, the Fed was on hold for a good, long time. When they did reverse course, the economy had produced 4 million jobs from the trough in the labor market. We're nowhere near that -- even with [payroll data] revisions, which I suspect will be on the tepid side, we won't be near that." Wayne Ayers
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"I don't think they needed an excuse to sit on their hands, and clearly they're going to do that. They may not even move until [their] August [meeting] at the earliest. They have all the flexibility they need, given the weakness of the labor market, and this [productivity report] gives them even more so." Wayne Ayers
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"Productivity always slows as the economy slows. If labor and wage costs are still on the rise and productivity slows, either corporate profits decline or prices increase." Wayne Ayers
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"They'd just as soon sit on the sidelines in an election year, but they will do what they have to do, and they have moved in other election seasons." Wayne Ayers
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Elections   

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"There's already a lot of stimulus in the pipeline, and there's more to come. So there appears to be an ever-growing amount of fiscal stimulus, which means any recession will be fairly shallow." Wayne Ayers
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"We're seeing on an almost daily basis signs across all sectors that this recovery is for real, and this trade number is confirmation of that. We've seen a pick-up in imports, indicative that the economy has turned the corner." Wayne Ayers
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"There's no case for no cut at all at this point. There have been better economic numbers, but [policy makers] expect to see that. If I interpret what they've been saying correctly, this economy could grow 4.5 or 5 percent for a year without putting upward pressure on inflation." Wayne Ayers
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"We are not going to see the strong increases in productivity that we've become accustomed to and I think we're at that point now and that's the message in these numbers." Wayne Ayers
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Productivity   

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"I don't think anyone has seen this happen so quickly. I don't think Alan Greenspan has seen it happen so quickly. So he's taking out an insurance policy for himself. My best guess is that they (The Fed) are running scared. At this point we've seen such pronounced weakness across all areas of the economy that I think they're fearful this downturn is going to be very different than any in the past." Wayne Ayers
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Economy    Insurance   

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"I think if you take those two things together, there is some hope." Wayne Ayers
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"They're acknowledging reality. They're saying, 'We'll do what we have to do if future events warrant,' but I still don't think they plan on doing anything anytime soon." Wayne Ayers
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"Consider how much of a [spending] boom we had in the '90s. The bad news is that it will take a long while to work through that. We're looking at the first quarter of next year before we see convincing evidence [of a recovery]." Wayne Ayers
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Boom   

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"I'm not sure Taylor has the political savvy for the job. Greenspan had been in Washington a long time and had a solid reputation. It was no surprise when Volcker was replaced by Greenspan because he was the obvious choice waiting in the wings." Wayne Ayers
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Job    Long Time    Reputation    Surprise   



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