"We continue to believe that the President is under some pressure to not appear anti-labor, and thus will probably not intervene until some time next week at the earliest, ... But despite his recent popularity with the Teamsters and the AFL-CIO, Bush will, in our view, most likely choose to protect the economy, which appears to increasingly be at risk the longer the port disruption continues."
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"We continue to believe that the president is under some pressure not to appear anti-labor, and thus will probably not intervene until sometime next week at the earliest, ... But despite his recent popularity with the Teamsters and the AFL-CIO, Bush will, in our view, most likely choose to protect the economy, which increasingly appears to be at risk the longer the port disruption continues."
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"This will be very positive for UPS over the long term. This is not material to earnings per share during the next few years, but over time it will be an important growth engine. It is also important to UPS because of the validation of the political time and effort they spent in winning support on Capital Hill for these slots."
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"Slowing growth is looming for the parcel carriers, in our view. Evidence of the slowing U.S. economy is abundant. Although the parcel carriers have reported a slowdown in growth, we are convinced that they will not be immune to the significant slowing in U.S. economic growth that is currently taking place."
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"Our sense is that the rejection was more a statement of employee sentiment in the airline industry rather than a statement regarding overall labor relations between UPS and the Teamsters. However, we believe UPS would want to put this contract to bed before focusing on the national Teamster contract."
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"We have noted in the past that our third-quarter earnings per share estimate of 47 cents (versus First Call consensus of 57 cents) would probably be too low if UPS settled early and a second round of freight diversion did not occur. As a result of last night's announcement, we will likely be raising our third-quarter EPS estimate in the next few days, once we get better visibility about some details of the contract."
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"We continue to believe that the President is under some pressure to not appear anti-labor, and thus will probably not intervene until some time next week at the earliest. But despite his recent popularity with the Teamsters and the AFL-CIO, Bush will, in our view, most likely choose to protect the economy, which appears to increasingly be at risk the longer the port disruption continues."
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"We continue to believe that the president is under some pressure not to appear anti-labor, and thus will probably not intervene until sometime next week at the earliest. But despite his recent popularity with the Teamsters and the AFL-CIO, Bush will, in our view, most likely choose to protect the economy, which increasingly appears to be at risk the longer the port disruption continues."
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